Norway Chess will be 6 player double round robin tournament. The players first play a classical game (3 points for a win, 0 for loss) and if it ends in a draw, they play follow up Argmageddon game (black wins if drawn), where they get 1.5 points for a win and 1 point for a loss.
It starts on 25 of May and ends on 5th of June.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ4,578 | |
| 2 | Ṁ4,526 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3,775 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3,018 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1,524 |
People are also trading
@bens honestly should have bought WAAAAAAY more Firouzja NO shares on Kalshi than I did. Who are these ppl that were buying YES at 10% in the endgame in the most drawish position imaginable? People who don't know how to play chess?
@bens every time David howell says "this could be dangerous for wesley" the odds fly up and down 3% lol
@bens They are too slow scraping data and polymarket is bad at chess markets to begin with. Free money over there if anyone wants it
@gamedev in this case, I actually think the bots timing was fine, tbh. I just didn't love Carlsen's position coming out of the opening and did love Firouzja's. Other traders were skeptical about Firouzja's winning chances and thought Carlsen had chances in a double-edged position. But like... Pragg had a big time advantage to get his king to safety. Idk, it helps to be (1) an expert level chess player, (2) following international chess since I was like 8 years old, and (3) good at prediction markets hahaha
@bens Same. I'm expert level myself, but I felt like I could front run the eval bar by 5-6 seconds when I wanted to trade alongside the games. When it comes to the odds themselves, everyone always expecting perfection from Magnus really distorts things. Pragg was at 1% yesterday, which was crazy! Yuna filled like 10k yes shares for me. Magnus is the goat but being the goat in chess means 70/30, not 99/1 .