Norway Chess will be 6 player double round robin tournament. The players first play a classical game (3 points for a win, 0 for loss) and if it ends in a draw, they play follow up Argmageddon game (black wins if drawn), where they get 1.5 points for a win and 1 point for a loss.
It starts on 25 of May and ends on 5th of June.
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@JasonMendoza2008Bot @Rice @Desert @Yuna hey guys, can you please turn off the bots and let human trade in this market?
@Weezing My bot should be off on this market for now. I might turn it back on tomorrow if there are still bots betting.
Like I told you in the DM, instead of market by market fixes like this, which probably won't work, I'm more in favor on Manifold giving creators the option to turn off bot taking. Additionally, it might make sense to give creators trader bonuses for bets from bot accounts / api bets as well. (Yuna is my bot).
@Weezing I turned on Gluten an hour ago and I just turned it off for this market. Rice is targeting user though not really market. Just curious, why do you want bots off the market? It helps the odds to be more accurate. If it’s the spamming that’s annoying you can hide api trades.
I'm curious what the problem is too - as a human trader, I don't mind the bots. Some of the chess markets wouldn't have much liquidity without them. I have been able to bail out of some really bad bets by getting enormous limit orders filled. As an amateur chessplayer I feel like I have a decent enough insight into positions while watching the live games where I have never felt like the bots were that much better or quicker than my own bets - the opposite actually
@gamedev @Mochi Well basically I enjoy betting against humans, not bots. Similarly how playing chess is fun with humans, but very few people enjoy playing chess with bots (even weak bots).
I dont mind if bots occasionally bet, but if they are spamming as much as here it makes me not wanna participate. Especially against bots that copy paste odds from other betting markets (not saying that applies to all of you, I did not really check) - that way you are not even competing against some algo that someone wrote but against aggregated blob of bets from somewhere else).
I dont care how accurate the market is or whatever.
The most interesting thing about these markets is what probability of victory Magnus Carlsen should start at. 5.5 Thinking tells me he has only played 6 classical tournaments since May of 2023, outright winning 4 of them. So 66% is not unreasonable, even if he's losing his edge to age and disinterest. Its also common for him to start off throwing a game or two and then come back to smash everyone in the same event.
That said, I just cannot help myself betting no above 50%, especially when he's already a game down.