Which country will host World Chess Championship 2024?
Basic
15
Ṁ7.6k
resolved Jul 1
100%99.0%
Singapore
0.7%
India
0.1%
Saudi Arabia
0.1%
Argentina
0.1%Other

FIDE CEO:

No formal bids have arrived, but we are at intense talks with several countries, with India and Singapore being on the most advanced stage. It is likely that we will get more than one formal bid.

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/india-singapore-in-fray-to-host-gukesh-vs-ding-championship-contest/articleshow/109866363.cms

We have detailed discussions with Argentina, India (more than one interested party there) and Singapore

https://www.chess.com/news/view/fides-call-for-world-championship-bids-draws-reactions

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bought Ṁ5,000 Singapore YES
Argentina

I bet YES on 'Other' which Manifold presumably automatically assumes are also YES bets on any future options that are added but i don't think if you pooled all available resources in Argentina currently you could get to 8.5 million dollars so I want to bet NO on them...how does that work?

@diadematus just sell your yes shares on Argentina

@Weezing and then you can buy no shares if you think it's still too high

bought Ṁ10 Other YES

Retired second and conspiracy theory enthusiast PH Nielsen thinks FIDE are hiding a secret bid from Saudi Arabia https://twitter.com/PHChess/status/1786743815279108444

bought Ṁ5 Singapore YES