You are welcome to add your own options. If you are unsure about an option, you can message and check with me.
Rules (will be updated as needed):
Ends with US 2024 presidential election (Nov 4th). It will still count even if Trump does not run for president.
Since this can be subjective I will not bet.
Any medium, but it must be verifiable (not rumours).
[Added 14/03] In general I consider anything posted on Trump's official social media as written by him.
Each option only counts things that happened after that option was added.
For a single person option it must be directed at the specific person
It must be clear who is referring to, but it does not have to be their name ("If you get rid of TikTok, Facebook and Zuckerschmuck will double their business." would also resolve Marc Zuckerberg)
For group option, he must criticize the entire group unless specified otherwise
So for option "Hollywood actors", he must critize Hollywood actors in general, not just one or couple specific actors from Hollywood
It must be direct criticism ot the subject. For example “I would have made a different choice [than X]” does not critize directly, just points out that he would do something differenly, so that does not count.
It must have clear negative sentiment. For example "Because of Joe Biden migration is at record high" does not resolve it YES by itself, because "migration" does not automatically mean something negative. But if we added "and migration slowly destroys America", then it would be YES. Similarly if he said "Because of Joe Biden illegal migration is at record high". Illegal migration is condered bad by almost everyone, so it would resolve YES even without any aditional context.
[Added 14/03] I am not gonna count just posting a link to a article (that contains some criticism) without anything else (or retweet/"retruth"). But if he adds something like "I agree with this 100%" or "They are right, read this", I would count it, because he actively shows that he agrees with the content.
I reserve right to N/A any options that are problematic, but I will try to avoid it
For YES resolution you must post evidence (link). I will probably do quick google search for each option after close to check if we missed anything obvious and then resolve rest to NO.
1,000
3.00I think this is my best chance to get my YES position to pay out. Market option created on Mar 9 2024, quote from May 21 2024 from a campaign email. https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2024/may/23/donald-trump/fact-checking-trumps-false-claim-about-fbi-deadly/
@Quroe I am leaning to not counting this since he criticizes Biden and DOJ, not FBI. In the article, I did not see that FBI itself did something wrong according to him. Let me know if I missed something.
@Weezing I can't seem to find anything else that can further a YES argument in good faith. That's the best I could provide. I concede the point. 🏳️
@traders Please post any evidence for YES resolution of the remaining options. I will give it some time and then resolve the rest to NO.
@Johne5ee Does this count for Google?
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/trump-says-google-has-a-lot-of-power-and-he-would-do-something-about-it-but-stops-short-of-favoring-a-break-up/ar-AA1sk2BU
Trump said that Google has "a lot of power" and that he would "do something" about it.
"They are very bad to me," he said, alleging that the search giant was "rigged" and didn't display positive stories about him. He also said he called the head of Google to voice his concerns.
@Weezing Does this count for Taylor Swift?
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113142103182027626
I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT!
@DiscoDan Does this count for China?
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/09/11/harris-trump-debate-foreign-policy-election/
“China and all of the countries that have been ripping us off for years” are going to face higher prices, Trump declared.
@LaurelFallon Does this count for California?
https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-10-12/2024-election-trump-rally-coachella
Trump blasted California as having “the highest inflation, the highest taxes, the highest gas prices, the highest cost of living, the most regulations, the most expensive utilities, the most homelessness, the most crime, the most decay and the most illegal aliens.”
[...]
Trump painted California as a lawless, dystopian state, and [...] his comments also were peppered with distortions and falsehoods, including his claim that California has brownouts and blackouts “every day,” presumably because of power shortages.[...]
Trump criticized California as being horribly mismanaged [...]
@LaurelFallon Does this count for Nancy Pelosi?
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-calls-schiff-and-pelosi-enemy-from-within/ar-AA1sBtoP
“I think Nancy Pelosi is an enemy from within,” he said
He started at no abortion for any reason, and then allowing abortions for up to 6 weeks, then up to 15 weeks, and then, who knows? [...] That’s why he’s polling at 1%.
Hmm, definitely seems like a grey area on whether it's direct enough to count, is claiming someone relaxing their views is the reason they're unpopular, thus implying it's because they're a pushover, a clear negative sentiment?
Curious, schumer is not on the list, but would this have counted? https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4537837-trump-goes-after-schumer-for-netanyahu-criticism-democrats-are-bad-for-israel/
Trump doesn't say schumer specifically, nor does he really attack him, but he does imply bad behavior regarding acting politically.
I asssume you refer to this section:
Former President Trump criticized Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Sunday after the senator said there should be an election to replace Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, saying the remarks are emblematic of poor policy toward the country by the Democratic Party.
There is no direct quote, but assuming he said something like "Schumer's remarks are emblematic of poor policy", it would count, because he criticized what Schumer had said.
@Weezing well, or just the headline itself - "Trump goes after Schumer for Netanyahu criticism: ‘Democrats are bad for Israel’"
Sorry, I wasn't entirely clear on our answer. Are you saying it would count?
@gpt_news_headlines Headlines can be clickbait or misleading, what matters is what trump actually said.
@gpt_news_headlines Yea, if we can't find direct quote anywhere and we just have this article paraphrasing it, then it does not count. If they directly quoted Trump I would count it.