What will happen during FIDE Candidates Tournament 2024?
70
10kṀ79k
resolved Apr 23
Resolved
NO
Nijat Abasov starts the tournament with 2 straight losses
Resolved
YES
A player directly complains about the amenities or hotel
Resolved
YES
Peter Leko commentates at least one round in a livestream
Resolved
NO
Somebody draws all their games
Resolved
YES
Any GothamChess Candidates recap video will get 500k+ views before the tournament ends
Resolved
YES
Nepomniachtchi won't be sole leader at some point after Round 4
Resolved
YES
London opening will be played
Resolved
YES
Alireza will win a game
Resolved
YES
Someone flags
Resolved
YES
Hikaru will have positive score against Caruana
Resolved
NO
Abasov loses all black games
Resolved
YES
Hikaru is only half a point behind leader(s) or better at some point [after round 5, once all games for given round are finished]
Resolved
NO
Hikaru's only round robin loss will be the 2nd round defeat from Vidit
Resolved
YES
Firouzja will play at least one game on chess.com after round 7 and before tournament ends.
Resolved
YES
There will be at least 2 decisive games that end in under 30 moves.
Resolved
NO
Tournament winner wraps up the tournament before round 13
Resolved
YES
A player wins three consecutive games
Resolved
YES
Hikaru is leading the tournament
Resolved
YES
At least one of the round predictions by Anish Giri, which he posts on Twitter/X, will be fully correct.
Resolved
NO
Abasov draws all white games

Candidate Tournament will be played on April 3-22 to determine World Chess Championship Challenger for Ding Liren.

Tournament info: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament

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You are welcome to add your own options.

Rules:

  • All options refer to the main (Open) Candidates 2024 tournament unless said otherwise

  • I will be betting if the option has objective resolution criteria. If there is any uncertainty I can ask mods to decide resolution instead.

  • If you are unsure about some underspecified option, ask in the comments before betting

  • Options should have some connection to the Candidates tournament.

  • Unless stated otherwise "highest" includes ties (Added 19/4/24)

  • Unless stated otherwise options include ties by default (Added 4/4/24)

    • For example: If there are two players X and Y leading the tournament and the option is "player X is leading the tournament at any point" that resolves yes.

  • Dictionary (will be updates if needed):

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