FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 5 Prop Bets
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Ṁ52kresolved Apr 10
Resolved
YESSomeone catches up to Nepo in rankings
Resolved
YESThere will be a novelty played before move 10 (according to Lichess Masters database)
Resolved
YESA game lasts more than 60 moves
Resolved
NONijat Abasov does not lose against Gukesh
Resolved
NO3 or more draws
Resolved
NO3 or more decisive games
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NOA rating underdog wins a game
Resolved
NOWhite wins more games than black
Resolved
YESAll games reach at least 30 moves
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NOOnly one player will have the lowest score after matches are over
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YESThere will be an imperfect game (a game with 5+ bad moves -inaccuracies, mistakes or blunders) according to Lichess post game analysis
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YESSomeone thinks for 30 minutes for a single move
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NOThere will be a quick draw under 25 moves.
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NOFirouzja wins against Hikaru
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NOVidit wins against Caruana
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NOPragg wins against Nepo
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YESSomeone plays a blunder according to a Lichess post game analysis
Resolved
N/ASomeone will sack 2 pawns (is 2 pawns down for at least 3 moves)
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YESSomeone is 1 hour down on the clock before move 40.
Resolved
YESA game ends via three fold repetition.
You are welcome to add your own options.
Games start 9th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~24 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.
Games can be followed here: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-4/CPS9dENa
Event info: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament
One of the broadcasts will be streamed here: https://www.twitch.tv/chess24
General rules:
When referring to rankings, final rankings are used unless specified otherwise
If option is about something that is hard to easily verify (like something that can happen at any time during broadcast), I will give time for people to post evidence and if nobody does, I will resolve option like it didnt happen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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