FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 5 Prop Bets
ChessChess candidates 2024
Basic
25
Ṁ52k
resolved Apr 10
Resolved
YES
Someone catches up to Nepo in rankings
Resolved
YES
There will be a novelty played before move 10 (according to Lichess Masters database)
Resolved
YES
A game lasts more than 60 moves
Resolved
NO
Nijat Abasov does not lose against Gukesh
Resolved
NO
3 or more draws
Resolved
NO
3 or more decisive games
Resolved
NO
A rating underdog wins a game
Resolved
NO
White wins more games than black
Resolved
YES
All games reach at least 30 moves
Resolved
NO
Only one player will have the lowest score after matches are over
Resolved
YES
There will be an imperfect game (a game with 5+ bad moves -inaccuracies, mistakes or blunders) according to Lichess post game analysis
Resolved
YES
Someone thinks for 30 minutes for a single move
Resolved
NO
There will be a quick draw under 25 moves.
Resolved
NO
Firouzja wins against Hikaru
Resolved
NO
Vidit wins against Caruana
Resolved
NO
Pragg wins against Nepo
Resolved
YES
Someone plays a blunder according to a Lichess post game analysis
Resolved
N/A
Someone will sack 2 pawns (is 2 pawns down for at least 3 moves)
Resolved
YES
Someone is 1 hour down on the clock before move 40.
Resolved
YES
A game ends via three fold repetition.

You are welcome to add your own options.

Games start 9th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~24 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.

Games can be followed here: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-4/CPS9dENa

Event info: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament

One of the broadcasts will be streamed here: https://www.twitch.tv/chess24

General rules:

  • When referring to rankings, final rankings are used unless specified otherwise

  • If option is about something that is hard to easily verify (like something that can happen at any time during broadcast), I will give time for people to post evidence and if nobody does, I will resolve option like it didnt happen.

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Round 6: https://manifold.markets/Weezing/fide-chess-candidates-tournament-ro-951a42fe1f65

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