FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 6 Prop Bets
23
330
Ṁ4.5k
resolved Apr 11
Resolved
YES
Gukesh and Nepo are still leading after the round is over
Resolved
NO
Praggs sacks a pawn in the opening again (is a pawn down for 3+ moves before move 20)
Resolved
NO
Gukesh or Vidit blunder in time pressure (<5 min on the clock & they make mistake or blunder according to Lichess post game analysis)
Resolved
NO
A game ends via three fold repetition.
Resolved
YES
Someone plays a blunder according to a Lichess post game analysis
Resolved
NO
Gukesh wins against Hikaru
Resolved
YES
Vidit wins against Alireza
Resolved
NO
Abasov does not lose against Pragg
Resolved
YES
Nepo vs Caruana is a draw
Resolved
NO
There will be a quick draw under 25 moves.
Resolved
NO
Someone thinks for 40 minutes for a single move
Resolved
NO
Only one player will have the lowest score after matches are over
Resolved
YES
All games reach at least 30 moves
Resolved
YES
White wins more games than black
Resolved
YES
A rating underdog wins a game
Resolved
NO
3 or more decisive games
Resolved
NO
3 or more draws
Resolved
NO
A game lasts more than 60 moves
Resolved
YES
There will be a novelty played before move 10 (according to Lichess Masters database)
Resolved
NO
American player wins

You are welcome to add your own options.

Games start 10th of April at 2:30 PM EDT (~12 hours from market creation). Come live bet with us.

Games can be followed here: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-4/CPS9dENa

Event info: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament

One of the broadcasts will be streamed here: https://www.twitch.tv/chess24

General rules:

  • When referring to rankings, final rankings are used unless specified otherwise

  • If option is about something that is hard to easily verify (like something that can happen at any time during broadcast), I will give time for people to post evidence and if nobody does, I will resolve option like it didn't happen.

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lichess SF 16 shows me +2.3 on 26... g4. But it says depth 45 (cloud), not depth 30.

sold Ṁ1 Answer #28589505c997 YES

@harfe it shows 0.9 for me

@harfe But I can refund you, this options is kinda confusing.

@Weezing thats very generous of you. thx.
I tried it again. At first, it shows 0.9, but if I click on that move it updates to 2.3

@harfe Really? That's weird. Next time I will use the post game analysis. I wanted something the can be checked live, but it does not seem reliable.

anyone has footage?

@Weezing none afaict...watched his resignation and he was pretty chill

sold Ṁ31 Answer #f027cbd69f15 NO

swear to god i read this as move 30 earlier

@diadematus it paid off :D

10 pawns in Caruana - Nepo on move 35

sold Ṁ25 Answer #9f392560f925 YES

@diadematus 9 pawns in Alireza-Vidit on move 35

bought Ṁ600 Answer #9f392560f925 YES

@diadematus

10 for Gulesh - Naka

8 for Pragg - Nijat

37 total

Danya has a longass story about Tal so AFAICT counter starts at 1

@diadematus Howell mentions Anand, Danya mentions Kramnik while discussing Pragg - Abasov

@diadematus GothamChess interviews Carlsen during a break and mentions his name, and Carlsen mentions Kasparov as GOAT

@diadematus Danya mentions that Pragg plays in a controlled fashion like Petrosian and Karpov. WC count is at 7 @Weezing

bought Ṁ100 Answer #fce469a3296d YES

@diadematus You are good at this, I missed most of them.

bought Ṁ40 Answer #9f392560f925 YES

@Weezing the lines were too easy though...the baseline should be 7 or 8 world champions since Carlsen, Anand and Kramnik/ Fischer are almost always mentioned

bought Ṁ10 Answer #1e9884a4170f YES

@diadematus Even if Danya is not commentating?

bought Ṁ14 A game lasts more th... NO

@Weezing He is the chief namedropper but I think yes

Peter Leko incredible counter is at 2 describing Qe2 by Gukesh

bought Ṁ30 Answer #33f018adcaa2 YES

@diadematus wait, he says 'incredibly' and 'incredible' so counter stays at 1

sold Ṁ0 Answer #e131ed692047 NO

@diadematus Leko says Fabiano has incredible opening knowledge after Nepo - Caruana ends in a draw

bought Ṁ15 All games reach at l... NO

@diadematus After a break Leko says Pragg plays like "an incredible experienced grandmaster and it just drives me crazy". Game, set match @Weezing