Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the official nominee of the Republican Party for President of the United States in the 2028 election is strictly under 55 years of age (54 or younger) on the day they officially secure the nomination.

This market resolves to NO if the nominee has already reached their 55th birthday on or before the day of their nomination.

• Date of Nomination: The date of nomination is defined as the day the roll-call vote is finalized and the presidential nominee is officially selected at the 2028 Republican National Convention (RNC).

• Alternative Resolution: If the Republican Party does not hold a traditional nominating convention in 2028, the age of the candidate representing the Republican Party on the majority of state ballots for the November 2028 general election will be evaluated as of Election Day (November 7, 2028).

Background

The 2028 Republican National Convention is scheduled to be held in Houston, Texas. Potential contenders and their ages during the summer of 2028 include:

• JD Vance (born August 2, 1984): Will be 43 years old.

• Ron DeSantis (born September 14, 1978): Will be 49 years old.

• Sarah Huckabee Sanders (born August 13, 1982): Will be 45 years old.

• Glenn Youngkin (born December 9, 1966): Will be 61 years old.

• Marco Rubio (born May 28, 1971): Will be 57 years old.

• Nikki Haley (born January 20, 1972): Will be 56 years old.

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