Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the officially selected 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States is strictly under the age of 55 (has not yet reached their 55th birthday) on the day they officially secure the nomination.

This market will resolve to NO if the nominee is 55 years of age or older on the day they officially secure the nomination.

• Definition of "officially securing the nomination": This is defined as the day the nominee officially crosses the delegate threshold required to win the nomination, whether via a roll-call vote at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (scheduled for August 7–10, 2028) or via an official virtual roll call held prior to the convention.

• Source of Truth: The age of the nominee on the roll-call date will be verified using official biographical records or mainstream biographical profiles (such as Britannica or Wikipedia).

• Precondition: If the Democratic Party does not nominate a presidential candidate for the 2028 election, or if the nomination process is canceled, this market will resolve N/A.

Background

The Democratic National Committee has scheduled the 2028 Democratic National Convention for August 7–10, 2028.

For context on the age threshold of prospective 2028 contenders on the convention start date (August 7, 2028):

• Under age 55 (Resolves YES):

  • Pete Buttigieg (born Jan 19, 1982; age 46 in Aug 2028)

  • Wes Moore (born Oct 15, 1978; age 49 in Aug 2028)

  • Andy Beshear (born Nov 29, 1977; age 50 in Aug 2028)

  • Ro Khanna (born Sept 13, 1976; age 51 in Aug 2028)

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (born Oct 13, 1989; age 38 in Aug 2028)

• Age 55 or older (Resolves NO):

  • Josh Shapiro (born June 20, 1973; age 55 in Aug 2028)

  • Gretchen Whitmer (born Aug 23, 1971; age 56 in Aug 2028)

  • Gavin Newsom (born Oct 10, 1967; age 60 in Aug 2028)

  • Kamala Harris (born Oct 20, 1964; age 63 in Aug 2028)

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