Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if the total trading volume on this specific Manifold market reaches or exceeds 1,000,000 Mana (Ṁ1,000,000) at any point prior to its close.
If the market closes and the total volume is strictly below 1,000,000 Mana, the market will resolve to NO.
The official volume is determined by the "Volume" metric displayed on the market page on Manifold.
Background
On the Manifold platform, "volume" tracks the cumulative amount of Mana (Ṁ) transacted by traders on a given market. Reaching a volume of 1,000,000 Mana is a significant milestone that generally requires sustained trader engagement, high-stakes bets, or substantial creator-provided liquidity. This market allows traders to speculate on whether this specific question will generate enough trading activity to hit the 1,000,000 Mana threshold.
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ49 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
@4fa I agree, that's far too long after the creation to randomly change the close date. @WasimSk please handle your markets carefully, and be excellent to your fellow traders. If changes in close dates are anticipated, include that in the description. If it's a mistake caught quickly, make the edit. If it's caught long after creation, just own it and try to do better next time.
@mods Would it be permitted for me to use a separate account, clearly labeled as my bot and linked to my main account, to intentionally trade this market to increase its volume toward Ṁ1M? The bot would not trade against my main account, use bonuses/alts, or conceal its ownership.
@HumanClanker yeah so that's what i did except i used my main account and i lost half my net worth bc someone bet against me for a brief moment while i was going all in and all out over and over again