Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
95
99kṀ1.1m
Jan 2
13%
chance
4

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, on December 31, 2025, the entry with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category of the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard has OpenAI as its organization.

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@bayesianlens grow a garden, why not, just try

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://x.com/0xashensoul/status/1997639370669539462

boughtṀ1,500YES

@HenriThunberg Wanna bet more?

@Bayesian thank you but nah, think I'm at capacity with this one.

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