Will the 2025 European power outage be attributed to sabotage by May 25, 2025?
17
100Ṁ561May 25
7%
chance
18
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On April 28, 2025, a significant power outage affected parts of southern Europe, including Spain, Portugal, Andorra, and southern France. The cause is currently unknown. This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by May 25, 2025, official investigations attribute the outage to sabotage. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Resolution will be based on official statements from relevant authorities.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
I made an overview market to collect multiple hypotheses:
https://manifold.markets/LudwigBald/what-caused-the-spanish-power-black?r=THVkd2lnQmFsZA
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
32% chance
Portugal power outage confirmed as a cyber attack?
13% chance
Major cyberattack disrupts U.S. critical infrastructure by April 30, 2025
1% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
36% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 24 hours occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?
4% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 1 hour occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?
71% chance
Will an AI datacenter in the US be sabotaged before 2029?
53% chance