Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?
9
Ṁ90Ṁ611resolved Jan 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a solar storm causes a confirmed internet outage lasting over 24 hours in any of these cities: Tokyo, Jakarta, Delhi, Seoul, Shanghai, Manila, São Paulo, Beijing, Mexico City, or New York City, before December 31, 2025. It resolves to 'No' if no such outage occurs due to a solar storm in these cities by the end date. Confirmation from reliable news sources, governmental reports, or major internet service providers is required.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ17 | |
| 2 | Ṁ10 | |
| 3 | Ṁ7 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
60% chance
Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
19% chance
Will sabotage cause 250k+ power outage in a U.S. megacity by 2026?
7% chance
Will a solar flare hit Earth within the next 5 years and cause widespread global disruption?
24% chance
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?
10% chance
Will any country physically disconnect from the internet for over a week before 2030?
79% chance
Will an abrupt sunlight reduction catastrophe occur before 2100?
10% chance
Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?
30% chance
Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
77% chance