Will the YoY rent increase in the US be >5%?
8
23
150
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO

As of November of 2022, the YoY number was 7.45%

As of January 2022, 15.57%

https://www.rent.com/research/average-rent-price-report/

Market will close at the end of this year, and I'll resolve the market one month later using whatever I consider to be the most authoritative datasource, defaulting to the one above.

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bought Ṁ100 of NO

Currently negative.

Note CPI rents are much higher, as they are close to something like a 12-month moving average of new rents, so the number is slower to respond to a fall in new rents. I am assuming you will resolve using a more timely source of data on new rents such as that linked in the description.

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by VivaLaPanda

@mattyglesias https://manifold.markets/VivaLaPanda/will-the-yoy-rent-change-in-the-us?referrer=VivaLaPanda

predicted NO

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