
Will the core CPI have increased more than 5% YOY at the end of 2025?
7
Ṁ1kṀ17kresolved Jan 13
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve based on the December 2025 CPI data (expected to be released on January 13th, 2026). Creator will wait for official release before resolving.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ677 | |
| 2 | Ṁ47 | |
| 3 | Ṁ41 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
People are also trading
Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?
64% chance
Poland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Will the PCE price index in December 2026 be more than 2% above that in December 2025?
60% chance
Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?
50% chance
Conditional on Republican trifecta in 2024, will CPI pass 10% by end of 2026
8% chance
Sort by:
@jgyou yes, same with me, though I'm such a degenerate that I have the CPI sent to my inbox every month
@jgyou can we please resolve this a bit earlier, I think it’s mathematically impossible for it to happen, you would need CRAZY inflation this month, do you think you could just ask all the traders if they would be OK resolving it before then
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?
64% chance
Poland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Will the PCE price index in December 2026 be more than 2% above that in December 2025?
60% chance
Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?
50% chance
Conditional on Republican trifecta in 2024, will CPI pass 10% by end of 2026
8% chance