Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2030 than in 2022
16
1kṀ738
2031
46%
chance

Datasource for homelessness will be https://sfgov.org/scorecards/safety-net/homeless-population

Datasource for population will be https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/23130/san-francisco/population or equivalant

2022: 7754/3,318,000 = .2%

I will resolve at the end of 2030 so that I can use whatever population data seems most accurate/authoritative at the time.

Urbanism
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

This seems like a really important market for SF dwellers and I'd like it to get more attention. Boosting & commenting.

People are also trading

Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2025 than in 2022
76% chance
Will the SF homelessness rate be <50% of 2022 rate by 2040?
69% chance
Will the median home sold price in San Francisco be higher in April 2025 than April 2024?
68% chance
Will SF homelessness be solved by 2040?
27% chance
Will homelessness double by 2030?
22% chance
Will San Francisco in 2025 be significantly safer than in 2022?
81% chance
Will SF permit more housing units in 2024 than in 2023?
13% chance
Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
1% chance
Will the result of the 2025 Los Angeles County homeless count be greater than 80k ?
46% chance
Will the number of Americans experiencing homelessness increase between 2023 and 2027?
77% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules