Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2025 than in 2022

Question

Datasource for homelessness will be https://sfgov.org/scorecards/safety-net/homeless-population

Datasource for population will be https://www.macrotrends.net/cities/23130/san-francisco/population or equivalant

2022: 7754/3,318,000 = .2%

I will resolve at the end of 2025 so that I can use whatever population data seems most accurate/authoritative at the time.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 78% chance (14 traders, as of Nov 15, 2025).