
What will be the main product of the first $1T AI company
38
1kṀ9922040
37%
Assistant
23%
Media Generation
17%
9%
Search
7%
Coding
1.7%
Synthetic biology
1.6%
Weapons
It's plausible we get some very powerful AI systems that become more AGI-like in the near future, but what problems will people leverage them against successfully?
No hard resolution date, $1T nominal dollars (no inflation adjustment)
If answers overlap, I will resolve in favor of the multiple answers, giving more weight to more specific answers. I will not count a company that develops AGI and just sells it to other people who then apply it as being an answer (so if OpenAI in their current form were to hit $1T I don't think I'd count GPT-3). Has to actually be applied AI.
If you don't believe that much more powerful AI is coming, this market should still resolve eventually just because of inflation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What will the first $5 trillion dollar company be?
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2030?
96% chance
Will a company with at least $1B in revenue be run primarily by an AI CEO before 2030?
23% chance
Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?
When will OpenAI become a trillion dollar company?
What AI-related companies will quintuple their value by mid 2027?
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
99% chance
$1T AI training cluster before 2031?
65% chance