🏅 Top traders

This is my first market to close. I wanted to create a low probability market to see how that would response to news/tension spikes. Turns out it was quite stable!

In later markets I have become more specific about how to resolve, but I think the gist of this prediction was easy to parse.

I am myself quite surprised how much border tensions have escalated, although I myself also wouldn't have updated on this rather extreme prediction, as opposed to e.g. unannounced military exercises in the region.