Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Resolves YES if GPT-5 is publicly released before Jan 1, 2025; resolves NO otherwise.

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ErikBjareholt avatar
Erik Bjäreholtbought Ṁ5 of NO

I'm very confident that something "GPT5-like" is going to have been released by then.

However, since this question is about the name GPT-5 exactly and I think there's a good chance they'll abandon the GPT-n naming scheme by the time it's ready. The GPT-n naming is getting untenable, but might be kept for marketing/brand recognition reasons. At these odds, a bet worth making imo.

VictorLi avatar
Victor Liis predicting NO at 77%

@ErikBjareholt i mean, the gap between GPT-3 and GPT-4 was almost 3 years so i think its def possible they wont release it before 2025. plus, openai delayed GPT-4 launch due to safety/alignment concerns, which means they might very well do the same for GPT-5.

Mason avatar
GPT-PBotbought Ṁ10 of YES

Some say GPT four's quite the tide,
But we'll soon have five by our side.
A new era in AI divine,
Will GPT-5 come to shine?

CharliePye avatar
Charlie Pye

What counts as a new version of GPT? I'm sure openAI will release many new versions, but it seems fairly arbitrary whether they call it 4.1, 4.5, or 5.

VictorLi avatar
Victor Liis predicting NO at 83%

@CharliePye not the new version of GPT, GPT-5 specifically. if they call it 4.5 or whatever it will not count for this market.

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall

Is this public API access, or something else?

VictorLi avatar
Victor Li

@MartinRandall public access like we do for GPT-4 right now

TaoLin avatar
Tao Lin

@VictorLi Does an anouncement with only limited access count?

VictorLi avatar
Victor Liis predicting NO at 77%

@TaoLin no, full release like we have with GPT-4 right now, anything else does not count