Manifold vs Metaculus

13

270Ṁ5227

resolved Apr 1

Resolved as

48%

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6H

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Yes = Manifold

No = Metaculus

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Both.

Metaculus makes better predictions (better defined, more good forecasters). Manifold is more fun.

Manifold is where you go when you're banned from metaculus. Not because you're allowed, but because the mods are too incompetent to ban me.

People are also trading

Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?

This is a question just to understand how manifold works

Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?

Is FiveThirtyNine AI better than Metaculus?

Will Manifold function at this time?

Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?

How can Manifold improve?

Ṁ3,446 bounty

How dramatic is Manifold?

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Related questions

Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?

This is a question just to understand how manifold works

Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?

Is FiveThirtyNine AI better than Metaculus?

Will Manifold function at this time?

Will Metaculus be around in 10 years?

How can Manifold improve?

Ṁ3,446 bounty

How dramatic is Manifold?

Metaculus Stock

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