Manifold vs Metaculus

13

Ṁ270Ṁ5.2k

resolved Apr 1

Resolved as

48%

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Yes = Manifold

No = Metaculus

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Both.

Metaculus makes better predictions (better defined, more good forecasters). Manifold is more fun.

Manifold is where you go when you're banned from metaculus. Not because you're allowed, but because the mods are too incompetent to ban me.

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Will Manifold add Metaculus style probability-distribution answers before 2033?

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