A bounty for the first person to successfully make real world money from Manifold market information (and write a blog post about it). Be it through arbitrage, futures, etc.

More work on automated accounts like https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot. There are tons of quality sources of information that should be automatically pulled into Manifold

Metaculus Bot (@MetaculusBot)

Run by @dglid on behalf of the Manifold Markets team. Markets resolve to match the corresponding Metaculus resolution. Have a specific Metaculus question you’d like to see created on Manifold Markets? Comment on any MetaculusBot market or contact @dglid on Twitter or Discord.

Bounty for creating a YouTube/TikTok video about manifold that exceeds a certain number of views.

Bounty of ~100M per person who embeds a MM chart on their blog. Per user not per post. The criteria is it needs to be a blog that is decent and regularly posted to. Blog analytics/traffic doesn't matter.

The reason I say traffic doesn't matter is sometimes low traffic blogs can blow up on HN, but also to reward anyone for their effort and to motivate anyone here to promote Manifold.

If you do this, you might find that occasionally someone with a big following does it too, so on average over all the bounties, you get decent exposure.

Blog posts about successful betting methods based on actual bets made in Manifold, with its corresponding result.

A bounty for creating a market that breaks the current record of traders/market.

A bounty for user written tutorials such as

• how to invest your first 500 mana

• how to make your first market

• how to avoid falling for scams

• how to arbitrage between markets

• how to use limit orders effectively

A bounty for the first person to get a clip of a large non-destiny streamer looking at the site on stream could be good.

Adding 500 bounty

Adding another M1,500 to the bounty.

@SG

top number of markets created?

Be the top-level poster of a Manifold-question-link-containing tumblr post which gets N-for-some-appropriate-N notes? (Or N-for-some-smaller-appropriate-N reblogs, as you prefer.)

How about bounty for a question with the highest number of trades within a week of posting?

Most Manifold questions created in a month.

Bounty for practical mock-ups of better user interfaces (per page) (bounty slightly inversely correlated with how impossible it would be to implement said interface).

Instagram bounty (same as others but for instagram)

Facebook bounty (same as others but for Facebook)

Blog/website bounty (same as others but from a personal blog/website)

Video tutorials

Bounty for highlighting cases where a Manifold market was used to make a real-world important decision (e.g. a company changing what product line to focus on because of a manifold market predicting upcoming legislation changes). This would be for big stuff that could impact a significant number of people, not really for personal markets.

This is a bit outside the scope of the question, but referrals could be improved to be single clicks. (maybe even on every page there is a straightforward way to refer someone, with a button that says "refer another user" or something similar).

Most user interactions in a season. This could include participation in comments/threads or something like bounties for a follow for a follow, etc.

I know Facebook doesn't have the most overlap with the target demographic, but this is probably still not ideal:

It probably deserves to have its own bounty along with the other social media sites. The groups on the site are like subreddits, it's not just people posting for their friends/family.

Maybe a couple thousand mana for creating a group of a certain size, or a couple hundred for getting a lot of likes from an existing large group?

Go around to different subreddits/communities and show how manifold could be used internally within their community (Show examples of the streamer destiny how his community used manifold) etc.