Who will be sworn in as the Prime Minister of India following the next-next (2029) general election?
Basic
32
Ṁ16872029
33%
Narendra Modi
14%
10%
Amit Shah
8%
Devendra Fadnavis
8%
Rahul Gandhi
8%
Yogi Adityanath
6%
Nitin Gadkari
4%
Shivraj Singh Chouhan
3%
S. Jaishankar
3%
Mallikarjun Kharge
2%
Arvind Kejriwal
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first person to take the oath of office as Prime Minister of India after the next-next general election (likely to be held in 2029).
If no one takes the oath of office as Prime Minister of India after said general election before 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one before 2030".
This market's closing date and time, currently 8:00 UTC, 1 July 2029, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
There was a massive arbitrage opportunity against https://manifold.markets/manyu/who-will-be-the-bjps-pm-candidate-f (e.g. Modi 67% vs 12%).
I took it.
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Who will be the BJP's PM candidate for the Indian General Election expected in 2029?
Will Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
32% chance
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
Who will be sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election?
Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister?
Who will be sworn in as the Chief Minister of Maharashtra following the 2024 Maharashtra Legislative Assembly election?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Mr Modi still be the Prime Minister of India in 2025?
90% chance