After Modi retires or loses, who will be the next Prime Minister of India?
8
135Ṁ1492030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
36%
Yogi Adityanath
6%
Rahul Gandhi
57%
Currently Modi is the Prime Minister of India which elects its PM every 5 years. When Modi stops being the Prime Minister of India, who will replace him?
In case of a death of a Prime Minister, an interim PM is appointed for a few days until the Parliament selects a new full-time Prime Minister. The aim of this question is to guage who is the person who is most like to follow Modi as the full-time PM of India, so any person appointed temporarily for a few days won't count.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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