The market will resolve when Grusch's claims about the U.S. possession of retrieved craft of non-human origin are either definitively confirmed or refuted. The confirmation or refutation must be supported by one or more of the following indicators:

https://thedebrief.org/intelligence-officials-say-u-s-has-retrieved-non-human-craft/

1. Definitive Empirical Evidence: Evidence directly supporting or refuting Grusch's claims is presented. This could be physical evidence of the craft, results from material science testing, or sufficiently convincing evidence that Grusch is fabricating his claims.

2. Conclusive Expert Corroboration: Independent experts in the field definitively confirm or refute Grusch's claims with their own knowledge or evidence.

3. Legally Binding Verdict: A legal judgment or verdict conclusively supports or refutes Grusch's claims.

For the market to resolve, the confirmation or refutation must be definitive and widely accepted by credible experts or authorities.

Currently the resolution date is 12/31/2030, but could be adjusted if there is a consensus decision reached prior to that date, or delayed if no consensus is reached by the original resolution date.

Intelligence Officials Say U.S. Has Retrieved Craft of Non-Human Origin - The Debrief

In a Debrief exclusive, Ralph Blumenthal and Leslie Kean report that a former official says the U.S. has retrieved craft of non-human origin.