Will any country adopt a superaligned constitution by 2040?
42
208
Ṁ2.2KṀ940
2040
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve to Yes if, before January 1, 2040, any sovereign state in the world officially adopts a new or amended constitution that contains text that is partially or fully generated by an artificial intelligence system.
The source and method of the AI generation must be verifiable and publicly disclosed by the adopting state. The adoption of the constitution must be done through a valid and recognized process of ratification and enactment, according to the state's own constitutional rules and international law.
This question will resolve to No if no such event occurs before January 1, 2040.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
46% chance
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
39% chance
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
79% chance
Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
60% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?
69% chance
Will a (new) technocratic government emerge by 2050?
54% chance
Constitutional amendment by 2050?
41% chance
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?
38% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?
55% chance