Will the margin of victory in Wisconsin be smaller than the margin of victory in Pennsylvania?
Plus
10
Ṁ570Nov 11
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden's margin over Donald Trump in Pennsylvania was 1.16%, and his margin over Donald Trump in Wisconsin was 0.63%.
In the 2024 presidential election, if the winner of Wisconsin wins by a smaller margin (in terms of the percentage of the popular vote in that state, not the absolute number of votes) than the margin that the winner wins by in Pennsylvania, this market will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Pennsylvania be decisive in the 2024 Presidential Election?
33% chance
What will be the margin of victory in Wisconsin in the 2024 Presidential election?
Will I win my bet against David about polling errors in MI/WI/PA?
81% chance
Who will win Wisconsin, and the election?
Will any presidential candidate win a majority of the vote in Wisconsin?
78% chance
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
71% chance
Will PA, MI, and WI be consecutive by 2024 margin of victory?
34% chance
Trump wins Pennsylvania by 2% or more?
24% chance
What will be the margin in Wisconsin's Senate election?
What will the margin be in the 2024 POTUS election in Wisconsin?