Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
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36
Ṁ13k
resolved Dec 9
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin as declared by the Wisconsin secretary of state/credible news sources is greater than 1%, NO if not, and N/A if the election does not happen or is voided for whatever reason. The final resolution will be done after all recounts and legal challenges have been exhausted

For reference:

Margin (partisan lean)

2020: Biden +0.63 (R +3.87)

2016: Trump +0.77 (R +2.87)

2012: Obama +6.94 (D +3.04)

2008: Obama +13.91 (D +6.71)

2004: Kerry +0.38 (D +2.78)

2000: Gore +0.22 (R +0.28)

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ Politics
#Trump
#Republican Party
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
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bought Ṁ2,000 NO

Resolves NO after the final certified election results - https://apnews.com/article/wisconsin-certification-trump-election-victory-735a9a394a48ca2ab886e153f3fc4c3b

@traders current margin is 0.9%-1% depending on various sources. Inconvenient, but I'll have to wait for the official final results.

sold Ṁ124 NO

@dlin007 Does 1.01 resolve to yes or no?

@jdilla 1.000000000000000001 resolves YES

bought Ṁ947 NO

Looks like we're still on track for a less than 1% margin of victory. Only Obama can win Wisconsin with > 1%, it's in the constitution

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