Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
โž•
Plus
29
แน€2397
Jan 6
71%
chance

Resolves YES if the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin as declared by the Wisconsin secretary of state/credible news sources is greater than 1%, NO if not, and N/A if the election does not happen or is voided for whatever reason. The final resolution will be done after all recounts and legal challenges have been exhausted

For reference:

Margin (partisan lean)

2020: Biden +0.63 (R +3.87)

2016: Trump +0.77 (R +2.87)

2012: Obama +6.94 (D +3.04)

2008: Obama +13.91 (D +6.71)

2004: Kerry +0.38 (D +2.78)

2000: Gore +0.22 (R +0.28)

Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules