Who will be US president going into election day, who will be the Democratic nominee for President, and will they win?
Basic
21
Ṁ1510
resolved Nov 7
100%99.0%
Joe Biden is president, Kamala Harris is the nominee, and she loses
0.2%
Joe Biden is president, Joe Biden is the nominee, and he wins
0.2%
Joe Biden is president, Joe Biden is the nominee, and he loses
0.1%
Kamala Harris is president, Kamala Harris is the nominee, and she wins
0.1%
Kamala Harris is president, Kamala Harris is the nominee, and she loses
0.2%
Joe Biden is president, Kamala Harris is the nominee, and she wins
0.2%
Some other outcome

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Ṁ1,000
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A market mainly to compare Harris's chance of winning if she goes into the election as President compared to if she has to go into the election without being President already

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