@Magnitude what is the evidence for this?

I wish, but I doubt it.

It's less likely now that he's stated he's not running for re-election, but he's also demonstrated interest in political leadership roles, and quite obviously has his own independent ideas about policy and whatnot. I could see him getting drafted in the future.

@Tripping Mind blowing that the leader of a major party is at the bottom of this list at 3%. Unlike a lot of the other folks on this list he’s actually been on the ballot twice and is very likely to be on it again in the next election. Not saying he’s undervalued here, but it’s a big vote of confidence on the folks above him on the list.

Am I missing any obvious people? @chris

@Tripping Yes: almost everyone will not be the Prime Minister of Canada.

@HarrisonNathan I reckon a couple of the people listed will be

@Tripping That doesn't concern me. This type of market exists for the purpose of betting on who won't.

@HarrisonNathan It's for both!