Who will be the Prime Minister of Canada at some point in their life?
Basic
52
Ṁ7410
9999
97%
Pierre Poilievre
49%
Mark Carney
37%
Chrystia Freeland
18%
Naheed Nenshi
7%
Olivia Chow
7%
Michael Chong
7%
Shuvaloy Majumdar
6%
Patty Hajdu
6%
Bill Blair
6%
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
6%
Pablo Rodríguez
6%
Karina Gould
6%
Seamus O'Regan
6%
Scott Aitchison
6%
James Bezan
6%
Ahmed Hussen
6%
Don Iverson
6%
Adam Chambers
6%
Melissa Lantsman
6%
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.

An answer resolves YES once they become Prime Minister.

Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM.

I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


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1mo

@Magnitude what is the evidence for this?

1mo
6mo

I wish, but I doubt it.

6mo

It's less likely now that he's stated he's not running for re-election, but he's also demonstrated interest in political leadership roles, and quite obviously has his own independent ideas about policy and whatnot. I could see him getting drafted in the future.

7mo

@Tripping Mind blowing that the leader of a major party is at the bottom of this list at 3%. Unlike a lot of the other folks on this list he’s actually been on the ballot twice and is very likely to be on it again in the next election. Not saying he’s undervalued here, but it’s a big vote of confidence on the folks above him on the list.

9mo

Am I missing any obvious people? @chris

bought Ṁ5 NO9mo

@Tripping Yes: almost everyone will not be the Prime Minister of Canada.

9mo

@HarrisonNathan I reckon a couple of the people listed will be

bought Ṁ15 NO9mo

@Tripping That doesn't concern me. This type of market exists for the purpose of betting on who won't.

9mo

@HarrisonNathan It's for both!

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