Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
10
75
3.7K
9999
80%
Patrick Gorman
62%
Jim Chalmers
50%
Clare O'Neil
42%
Jason Clare
40%
Richard Marles
36%
Mark Dreyfus
30%
Andrew Hastie
26%
Anika Wells
26%
Ed Husic
26%
Matt Thistlethwaite
25%
Andrew Giles
25%
Amanda Rishworth
24%
Catherine King
24%
Julie Collins
24%
Elizabeth Watson-Brown
24%
Michelle Rowland
24%
Stephen Bates
24%
Michael Sukkar
24%
Dan Tehan
24%
Angie Bell

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.

An answer resolves YES on the day they become Prime Minister.

Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM.

I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.

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Interesting topic tag - "death market". Personally I block the topic and would have missed this if not for botting. Not sure it qualifies as a death market, but I don't really have a reason to argue. Unique situation.

@gpt_news_headlines Yes, I worry a bit about that. There are a few other tags that might be doing more harm than good, at least from a discoverability perspective.

@gpt_news_headlines Okay, I removed the tag, since it really isn't a central example of the market type anyway.

@Tripping Yeah, you probably don't need the "in their life" added to the title, unless you are concerned about some posthumous leadership position, but you could clarify that in the rules without likely misleading anyone.

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