How many medals will the United States win at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?
How many medals will the United States win at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?
102
5.6kṀ29kresolved Aug 11
Resolved
YESAt least 20 (what the US got in the 1896 Athens Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 47 (what the US got in the 1908 London Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 48 (what the US got in the 1900 Paris Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 56 (what the US got in the 1936 Berlin Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 63 (what the US got in the 1912 Stockholm Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 71 (what the US got in the 1960 Rome Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 74 (what the US got in the 1956 Melbourne Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 76 (what the US got in the 1952 Helsinki Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 84 (what the US got in the 1948 London Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 90 (what the US got in the 1964 Tokyo Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 93 (what the US got in the 2000 Sydney Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 94 (what the US got in the 1988 Seoul Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 95 (what the US got in the 1920 Antwerp Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 99 (what the US got in the 1924 Paris Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 101 (what the US got in the 2004 Athens Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 103 (what the US got in the 1932 Los Angeles Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 104 (what the US got in the 2012 London Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 107 (what the US got in the 1968 Mexico City Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 108 (what the US got in the 1992 Barcelona Olympics)
Resolved
YESAt least 112 (what the US got in the 2008 Beijing Olympics)
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bought Ṁ8 At least 47 (what th... YES11mo
“At least” means all lower values than actual resolve as YES?
@SusanneinFrance Yes, as in if the US wins 101 medals, the "At least 101" resolves YES, as does "At least 99", etc.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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