Which Driver Will Win The 2025 F1 (Formula One) Drivers' Championship?
The 2025 F1 season starts on Sunday March 16th 2025 at Albert Park in Australia.
Links:
F1 Standings
F1 Rules
Resolution:
Resolves To The Winner Of The World Drivers' Championship
If For Some Season Is Canceled, This Will N/A
If For Some Reason Their Is A Tie, It Will Default To Formula One Rules.Clarifications:
*November 2024*
If A Driver Is Replaced Before Season Start, The Replacement Driver Will Take The Spot Of The Driver They Replace.
If A Driver Is Replaced Mid Season, The Replacement Will NOT Be Added As An Independent Entry.
In The Event A Replacement Driver Whom Replaced A Driver Mid Season Wins The WDC This Market Will Resolve To The Driver They Replaced.
This May Resolve Earlier Than Close Time If The Championship Is Clinched.DISCLAIMER
I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE
DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST.
If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.
In The Event That A Market Is "Sweepified" The Resolution Of The Mana Market Will Resolve The Same As The Resolution Manifold Resolves & Only When Manifold Resolves The "Sweepified" Market.
1,000People are also trading
@AlexanderTheGreater Yes, but 40 points are still a lot to recover. I get that Verstappen chances are increasing, but being 41% vs Piastri 32% is nonsense. Right now Oscar is still 1st with a discrete advantage. If he suddenly starts delivering good results again the championship will be locked
@BlitzEver I think either of the top three is very much in it now and the market here definitely is too volatile. That said, I could see arguments for a large range of probabilities.
Oscar and Lando clearly have the point advantage. Max has a big lead to close but at this point McLaren's car advantage seems gone and Max might be the most consistent driver of all time. I'm not sure Oscar can get these good results again. I don't think McLaren is gonna bring a new upgrade and Max IMO is the best driver on the grid by a good margin. That said, one car problem for Max and the dream dies unless Oscar has a problem as well. I expect a exciting championship and, weirdly, at the same time mostly boring races.
@AlexanderTheGreater Consider also that many teams are already at the 4th power unit (or other car component). This means that in the next races many will get the grid-penalty due to component changes exceeding the limits.
But yeah, I agree with you, mostly. Especially the last sentenceπ
@BlitzEver interesting! I looked it up and all drivers have used up every single part except extension exhaust which only Yuki has exhausted. https://www.f1-fansite.com/2025-formula-1-season/2025-used-f1-power-unit-elements-gearboxes/
Not sure what that means for the competition though. I assume we'll have a Sprint(?) race where most teams take the hit and it's a wash?
@AlexanderTheGreater You were right, and now he is at the opposite extreme at just 1.5%π, absolute nonsense the odds here
@BlitzEver I don't understand why this market is so bipolar. It has 80 traders as well! Very unusual for Manifold.
RACE 1: Australia π¦πΊ
Hadjar joins Tsunoda at Racing Bulls for F1 2025 https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/hadjar-partner-tsunoda-racing-bulls-2025/10683770/
Sergio Perez and Red Bull have reached an agreement to part ways with immediate effect.
Seat #2 For Red Bull & Seat #2 For Visa Cash App Racing Bulls Should Be Official Soon.
With Perez Rumored To Be Axed By Red Bull, I Have Removed Perez From Seat #2 (Red Bull) Until Confirmation Of 2nd Seat Being Filled.
This Is The Same With VCARBs Second Seat Since It Has Not Been 100% Confirmed That Liam Lawson Will Remain In Seat #2 For VCARB. It Is also possible Lawson Gets Seat #2 For Red Bull.