Will Volt be elected into the next Hamburg Parliament (2025)?
4
1kṀ600Dec 31
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background :
Hamburg state election 2025: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Hamburg_state_election
Volt Europa:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volt_Europa
Polling for Hamburg parliament:
https://politpro.eu/en/hamburg
The threshold for entering the Hamburg parliament is 5%
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to YES if Volt receives at least one seat in the 2025 Hamburg state election.
It will resolve to NO if:
Volt participates but does not gain at least one seat in the 2025 Hamburg state election
Volt does not participate in the election
The election is cancelled or postponed beyond 2025
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW be part of the next German federal parliament?
35% chance
NEXT PERSON TO BE ELECTED CHANCELLOR OF GERMANY?
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
26% chance
Will SPD and Greens combined win more seats than CDU/CSU in the 2025 German federal election?
37% chance
Will Volt be elected into the next Bundestag (2025)?
3% chance
Will nuclear energy be a relevant topic in Germany's election 2025?
70% chance
Who will succeed Olaf Scholz as next Chancellor of Germany?
German Bundestag election 2025 requires partial repetition in at least one district by August 1st 2025
27% chance
Will Olaf Scholz remain chancellor of Germany after the next federal election?
4% chance
Will "CSU" be in the next Bundestag?
96% chance