If anyone were to make a serious attempt to build a manifold alternative, I would be willing to contribute a significant amount of time towards it for free.

If I contribute more than 40 hours towards a manifold alternative, this market will resolve YES.

With the pivot a lot of users are frustrated that play money betting is going away (myself included). While I understand why this decision was made, it’s unfortunate for myself and the people who enjoyed using play money.

I believe the pivot is necessary because play money prediction markets just aren’t profitable. But I believe a smaller organization not seeking a profit would be able to run a play money betting site more sustainably, and with much less overhead

Reasons to vote YES:

• I have lots of software dev experience and have built web apps with 200k active users from scratch

• I love doing side projects like this on top of my day job.

• I think the pivot will add a lot of constraints to the ways mana is used, most of which are not known yet. A purely play money site would be free of those constraints, and I want to see that happen

Reasons to vote NO:

• This would be a pretty big time commitment, and I’d only be interested if I had help from others in the community

• I respect the Manifold team, and if for some reason they didn’t like us working a direct competitor, I’d likely step away from the project (although they didn’t have any issue with it in the past)

• I do hop between projects a lot. I think this is a good idea now, but in a few weeks I might be less enthusiastic.

Also, here’s a related market, arb away!