If anyone were to make a serious attempt to build a manifold alternative, I would be willing to contribute a significant amount of time towards it for free.
If I contribute more than 40 hours towards a manifold alternative, this market will resolve YES.
With the pivot a lot of users are frustrated that play money betting is going away (myself included). While I understand why this decision was made, it’s unfortunate for myself and the people who enjoyed using play money.
I believe the pivot is necessary because play money prediction markets just aren’t profitable. But I believe a smaller organization not seeking a profit would be able to run a play money betting site more sustainably, and with much less overhead
Reasons to vote YES:
I have lots of software dev experience and have built web apps with 200k active users from scratch
I love doing side projects like this on top of my day job.
I think the pivot will add a lot of constraints to the ways mana is used, most of which are not known yet. A purely play money site would be free of those constraints, and I want to see that happen
Reasons to vote NO:
This would be a pretty big time commitment, and I’d only be interested if I had help from others in the community
I respect the Manifold team, and if for some reason they didn’t like us working a direct competitor, I’d likely step away from the project (although they didn’t have any issue with it in the past)
I do hop between projects a lot. I think this is a good idea now, but in a few weeks I might be less enthusiastic.
Also, here’s a related market, arb away!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ602 | |
2 | Ṁ47 | |
3 | Ṁ36 | |
4 | Ṁ34 | |
5 | Ṁ16 |