See
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66786611
Will the presence of DMS be confirmed by further study (expected in about a year)?
Note this does not require evidence of life, but would be evidence in support of it!
Further details: https://esawebb.org/news/weic2321/
Update 2025-05-01 (PST): - Follow-up observations were made in April 24, but results have not yet been published. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Update:
The market will resolve to YES only if the presence of DMS in K2-18b's atmosphere is confirmed at a 5 sigma level of significance.
Results below the 5 sigma threshold will not count as confirmation for a YES resolution.
Update 2025-05-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution to YES requires confirmation of DMS at a 5 sigma level.
Confirmation will not be based solely on the findings of a single research group. Independent corroboration or wider scientific acceptance is needed.
Update 2025-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that the market will resolve to NO under two main conditions:
If a request for repeat observation (for DMS confirmation) is denied.
If DMS is not confirmed (per the established YES criteria) by the end of 2025 (aligning with the market's official closing date).
1,000