In early January 2024, multiple sources claimed that the James Webb Space Telescope has detected extraterrestrial life on an exoplanet, and that a paper is being withheld so as to achieve a higher standard of evidence than is typical for most papers.

This market will resolve to YES if, before December 31, 2025 at 11:59:59pm EST, a peer-reviewed paper is published stating that it likely non-human life has been detected in the Universe.

The paper must make the stronger claim that it is "likely that life exists," not merely that "biosignatures compatible with life" may exist. The claim may also be made due to radio signatures, but again the paper must state that the radio waves are transmitted by life, not merely compatible with life.

All claims must use the Webb Telescope's data as evidence and the claim must be credibly made by the operators or researchers using the telescope. The acknowledgment of non-human intelligence only present on Earth that was not detected by the telescope is insufficient, though that outcome is covered in other markets.

Otherwise, the market resolves to NO.