Will the age 25-29 employment rate for Sept. 2026 stay below 77.9%?
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Ṁ100Ṁ12resolved Oct 2
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The reported employment rate for this age group fell markedly in June 2026, but that drop has been dismissed as noise by at least one economist, Jacob Schaal (@FutureEconJacob) on X.
The criteria is whether it remains below the minimum monthly value during 2022-2025 (77.9) for a fourth straight month, according to the following BLS series: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNU02324932
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