AMPLIFIED ODDS 20x: Will a new pandemic break out before 2024?
21
480Ṁ661
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
N/A

If it is discovered after the following january I might not take it into account.


AMPLIFIED ODDS

if it would otherwise resolve no I will resolve n/a with 19/20 probability instead.

You can calculate the amplified price(YES') from the probability(YES) using the formula: YES' = YES/(YES + (1-YES)/20)

As explained in: AMPLIFIED ODDS 100x: Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets

Conversion graph:

Conversion Table:

Probability | Amplified price


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