AMPLIFIED ODDS 20x: Will a new pandemic break out before 2024?
21
480Ṁ661resolved Jan 12
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If it is discovered after the following january I might not take it into account.
AMPLIFIED ODDS
if it would otherwise resolve no I will resolve n/a with 19/20 probability instead.
You can calculate the amplified price(YES') from the probability(YES) using the formula: YES' = YES/(YES + (1-YES)/20)
As explained in: AMPLIFIED ODDS 100x: Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat by the end of 2023? | Manifold Markets
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Conversion Table:
Probability | Amplified price

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