Will another outbreak on par with covid-19 happen within the decade.
20
32
370
2034
45%
chance

This question resolves yes if another pathogen (zoonotic or not) causes more than 1 million excess deaths due to an outbreak in the next decade. This pathogen does not need to be novel to be included but it cannot include any disease which began as an outbreak before 2024. E.g. Malaria or AIDS etc. wouldn't count unless a significant new strain emerged.

e.g. A second outbreak of a new COVID or flu strain would count and equally new strains of other know diseases are included.

Get Ṁ600 play money

More related questions