19
30
Ṁ410Ṁ370
2034
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves yes if another pathogen (zoonotic or not) causes more than 1 million excess deaths due to an outbreak in the next decade. This pathogen does not need to be novel to be included but it cannot include any disease which began as an outbreak before 2024. E.g. Malaria or AIDS etc. wouldn't count unless a significant new strain emerged.
e.g. A second outbreak of a new COVID or flu strain would count and equally new strains of other know diseases are included.
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