Which of the ICML 2023 Outstanding Paper award winners will have the most citations at the end of 2025?
8
310Ṁ1075Jan 1
0.8%
Learning-Rate-Free Learning by D-Adaptation
95%
A Watermark for Large Language Models
1.1%
Generalization on the Unseen, Logic Reasoning and Degree Curriculum
1.1%
Adapting to game trees in zero-sum imperfect information games
1.1%
Self-Repellent Random Walks on General Graphs - Achieving Minimal Sampling Variance via Nonlinear Markov Chains
1.1%
Bayesian Design Principles for Frequentist Sequential Learning
https://icml.cc/Conferences/2023/Awards
I will resolve based on the citation count on Google Scholar.
I will bet on this market since it seems to be possible to resolve quite objectively.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which 2024 AI paper will have the most citations in 2030?
In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?
Who will be the most cited ML researcher alive in 2040?
Which MATH-AI 23 works will have >50 Google Scholar citations by end of 2026?
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
65% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
60% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2030?
83% chance
Will the "Attention Is All You Need" Paper be given the Test of Time Award in NeurIPS 2027?
50% chance
Will any submitted paper for ICLR 2024 be a "game changer" by 2030?
41% chance