Will Viktor Orbán be the next Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2022 election, held on April 3, 2022?
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resolved Apr 4
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YES
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Betfair's giving decimal odds of 1.01 to bet against Orban, corresponding to implied odds of 99%, plus odds of 50 to bet on Marki-Zay, corresponding to implied odds of 2%. It's hit the precision limits of their market. https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/politics/hungary-next-parliamentary-election-betting-31158906
He will win.
ye predictit it as 90% so I'm out
Probably but 90s is too high.
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