Will Viktor Orbán be the next Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2022 election, held on April 3, 2022?
18
196
100
resolved Apr 4
Resolved
YES
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bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
Betfair's giving decimal odds of 1.01 to bet against Orban, corresponding to implied odds of 99%, plus odds of 50 to bet on Marki-Zay, corresponding to implied odds of 2%. It's hit the precision limits of their market. https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/politics/hungary-next-parliamentary-election-betting-31158906
bought Ṁ100 of YES
He will win.
sold Ṁ17 of NO
ye predictit it as 90% so I'm out
bought Ṁ20 of NO
Probably but 90s is too high.