Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if Darline Graham (also known as Darline Graham Nordone) officially files to run for the United States Senate in the 2028 election cycle (in South Carolina or any other U.S. state).
To qualify as running, she must meet at least one of the following criteria prior to the November 2028 general election:
File a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) designating a principal campaign committee for a 2028 U.S. Senate race.
Officially qualify for a primary, general, or special U.S. Senate election ballot with the South Carolina Election Commission or another state's official election authority.
This market will resolve to NO if she does not officially file or qualify as a Senate candidate for the 2028 cycle by the date of the November 2028 general election, or if she publicly rules out a bid and fails to file before the candidate filing deadlines pass.
Resolution Sources:
Official announcements confirmed by major news organizations (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).
Background
Darline Graham Nordone, the younger sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, was appointed to the U.S. Senate by South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster in July 2026 to fill her brother's vacant seat. After securing the Republican nomination with the backing of Donald Trump, Graham lost the November 2026 election for the full six-year term to Democrat Annie Andrews in a historic upset.
South Carolina's other U.S. Senate seat, Class 3 (held by Republican Tim Scott), is scheduled to be up for election during the regular 2028 midterm cycle.
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1,000