Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "YES" if Kamala Harris officially announces her candidacy for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election. An official announcement includes a statement released by her campaign, a formal filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a direct, unambiguous public declaration of her intent to run.

The market resolves to "NO" if she explicitly states she will not run, or if the 2028 inauguration occurs without her having announced a campaign.

Resolution will be based on reports from major, reputable news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, CNN). If she forms an exploratory committee or makes a similar formal step toward candidacy, this will be considered an announcement of a run.

Background

Kamala Harris served as the 49th Vice President of the United States from 2021 to 2025 and was the Democratic nominee for President in 2024. Speculation regarding future presidential candidates often begins well in advance of the election cycle, depending on political climate, party strategy, and personal intent. As of April 2026, there has been no official declaration regarding her plans for 2028.