
I will create a Manifold poll with the title "Did Trump or Putin do something at the meeting in Alaska that you think is an embarrassing gaffe?" with the following options:
Strong agree
Weak agree
Neutral/unsure
Weak disagree
Strong disagree
Lizardman
See results
Each strong agree adds 2 points, each weak agree adds 1 point, each weak disagree subtracts 1 point, each strong disagree subtracts 2 points, and all other options don't affect points. If the total points after closing is positive, this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน62 | |
2 | แน37 | |
3 | แน10 | |
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5 | แน6 |
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From the poll comments
Points calculation:
Strong_agree_votes = 5
Weak_agree_votes = 5
Weak_disagree_votes = 3
Strong_disagree_votes = 6
Net_points = Strong_agree_votes*(2) + Weak_agree_votes*(1) + Weak_disagree_votes*(-1) + Strong_disagree_votes*(-2)
= 5*(2) + 5*(1) + 3*(-1) + 6*(-2)
= 10 + 5 - 3 - 12
= 0
Huh, by sheer chance it was an exact draw
Looking back at the resolution criteria
If the total points after closing is positive, this market resolves YES, otherwise NO.
Hmmm, is zero positive? It's probably most fair to just resolve this 50% lol
I doubt Trump himself forgot the papers in the printer but it's still embarrassing IMO to even use a hotel printer https://www.npr.org/2025/08/16/nx-s1-5504196/trump-putin-summit-documents-left-behind