Will there be any place UK citizens are allowed to live and work indefinitely in 2030 that they are allowed in 2025?
Will there be any place UK citizens are allowed to live and work indefinitely in 2030 that they are allowed in 2025?
4
100Ṁ360resolved May 17
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Examples of places where UK citizens are currently allowed to live and work indefinitely: the UK, Ireland, Svalbard.
Update 2025-05-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the market's resolution will be based on whether the UK keeps existing.
If the UK exists in 2030, the market resolves to YES.
If the UK does not exist in 2030, the market resolves to NO. This shifts the focus from UK citizens' rights in multiple locations (like Ireland or Svalbard) to the sole criterion of the UK's existence.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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