In which year will there be 10,000 confirmed exoplanets?
6
100Ṁ4432029
1%
2024
5%
2025
7%
2026
9%
2027
15%
2028
64%
Resolves at the year the number of confirmed exoplanets goes above 10,000, as recorded by the NASA Exoplanet Archive.
Related market for whether there will be 10k confirmed exoplanets before the end of 2025:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the hypothetical Planet 9 be discovered before 2028?
15% chance
Will there be ≥20k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2030?
48% chance
Will there be ≥30k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2030?
39% chance
Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2030?
20% chance
Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2040?
30% chance
By the end of 2030, will over a million rogue planets be found?
15% chance
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
17% chance
Solar gravitational lens at 542 AU to image exoplanets by EOY 2055?
27% chance
Will Planet Nine be confirmed by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will planet 9 be discovered before 2030?
30% chance