If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
42
1kṀ4691resolved Jul 5
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves N/A if Keir Starmer is not the leader of the Labour Party going into the next general election, currently scheduled for the 2nd May 2024, YES if the first government formed after that election is a Labour majority or minority government or a coalition government where Labour makes up a plurality of the seats, and NO otherwise.
Jan 15, 5:50pm: Clarification: Plurality of the seats among the parties making up the coalition, not necessarily the House of Commons.
Jan 16, 2:04am: #Politics #UKPolitics #2024UKGeneralElection
Jan 16, 2:05am: #KeirStarmer #UKLabourParty
Close date updated to 2025-01-24 12:00 am
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ91 | |
| 2 | Ṁ51 | |
| 3 | Ṁ42 | |
| 4 | Ṁ29 | |
| 5 | Ṁ27 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
79% chance
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
47% chance
If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?
32% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
75% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Keir Starmer?
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
38% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
42% chance
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
60% chance