If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
Politics•2024 US Presidential Election•Joe Biden
128
538
Ṁ1.1K
Nov 3
52%
chance
Joe Biden is the current President of the USA, elected on a Biden/Harris in 2020 in a presidential race against Trump/Pence. He has stated to CNBC that he intends to run for reelection again, as an incumbent (https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/25/2024-presidential-election-joe-biden-expects-to-run-for-reelection.html). One consideration for the Democratic party when choosing a nominee is how likely they are to actually win an election. I thus ask how likely Biden is to win the presidency, if he does run for reelection and is chosen as the Democratic the nominee. This resolves N/A if Joe Biden is not the Democratic nominee, and YES or NO depending on whether he becomes the president if he is the nominee. Jan 14, 11:02pm: #Politics #USPolitics #2024USPresidentialElection Jan 15, 5:44pm: #JoeBiden
Get Ṁ200 play money
3 Comments
109 Holders
866 Trades
Sort by:

Have a look at the other DNC candidates too:

what if he becomes the nominee but then withdraws (and therefore does not win the election)?

bought Ṁ2 of YES
See electionbettingodds.com's estimates of P(president|nominee) for candidates, currently 51.7% for Biden https://electionbettingodds.com/ElectabilityDEM.html

Related in Politics

See more Politics questions

Related in 2024 US Presidential Election

See more 2024 US Presidential Election questions

Related in Joe Biden

See more Joe Biden questions

More related questions