If Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ868resolved Sep 14
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-09-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on the agent arena scores as of September 14th.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ44 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ15 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the next Claude Fable be released?
10/22/26
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
86% chance
Will Fable 5.1 still trigger safeguards all the time?
80% chance
How many labs will have a model that is higher than Fable 5 on the arena.ai agent arena at the end of 2026?
3.22
Claude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Will Fable remain at the top of the coding ranking?
19% chance
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
What will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
28% chance
Will any European model listed on arena.ai agent arena have a higher score than Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview by end 2026?
43% chance
Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?
33% chance
